In the collectibles and sports card industries, scarcity matters. The rarer something is, chances are…the more people probably want it. That’s why I’m a huge fan of case hits.
Case hits, by their very definition, are extremely rare. A single hobby box in the modern sports card market today—especially if it’s a highly sought-after product like Select or Prizm—might just run you $1,000. If that’s true, a case will likely be closer to 10 to 12 times that.
Imagine paying $10,000 for a case of those cards, opening all 12 boxes up, and only coming away with a single case hit. Now imagine the one you pulled wasn’t even the one you wanted—you went in hoping for Patrick Mahomes and came away with Jimmy Garoppolo instead. If the set has 12 players in it, you’re not just looking at one-per-case odds. You can times that by 12. Now we’re talking over $100,000 in cases, in theory, to find a single card.
For that reason alone, if you’re looking for case hits, I don’t recommend you buy actual cases of cards. I think you can take advantage of the fact that case hits are drastically undervalued and head over to eBay to scoop up the exact ones you want.
Here are some of the top case hit cards I recommend.