Another week, another Titans over. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, right?
This Titans team continues to push overs at an unbelievable rate, going 7-2-1 over the last ten games, 8-2-1 in conference, and 10-3-1 overall.
More importantly, those 2 losses in their last 10? Directly caused by the lack-of-offense (note: not the Titans ‘tough defense’) of both the Bears and the Jaguars.
The Titans offense does their part seemingly every week to get to the over (scoring 46, 31, 35, 45, 30 in the last 5 weeks). This week we get Green Bay - a team we can also count on to score points.
Not only is this total the highest of the week (as we always say, if it’s high, go higher), the data points to a shootout at Lambeau.
Offensively, the Titans rank third in yards per play, one slot behind, you guessed it, the number two ranked Packers.
Defensively? Both teams leave a lot to be desired, with the Titans ranking 23rd in opponent yards per play and the Packers ranking 19th - not good!
Football Outsider’s DVOA ratings (offensive and defensive efficiency rankings) paint the same picture: The Titans rank third in offensive DVOA, while the Packers once again rank second, while the Titans rank 28th defensively compared to the 18th for the packers.
In short: we have fantastic offenses going against below average defenses.
What could go wrong?
Taking the over for one unit.