It's Tannehill time in Tennessee, baby! Did he objectively look more handsome in South Beach? But of course, but no time here to discuss good looks, just good bets.
Right off the bat, Tannehill looked like the QB he was drafted to be back in 2012 during his first career Titans start, throwing for an impressive 312 yards. His completion percentage in his two games so far: 81.2 percent, followed by 79.3 percent. Mariota was under 60 percent in four of the six games he played this year. Something to chew on.
What’s important here is that Tannehill is surrounded by a ton of talented players (both RB and WR), and his rise should free up more room for Henry to bulldoze through the defense.
An important factor in this game comes down, not surprisingly, to turnovers.
When the Bucs are on, Jameis is taking care of the ball, but that doesn’t happen too often. He’s had at least one turnover in four of six games this year, including six turnovers last week. Certainly, that won’t happen again, but the Titans do rank 10th in turnover differential, compared to the Bucs at 22. While the Tannehill turnover-sample-size is small, he does have a 125:77 TD/INT ratio over his career. Combine that with the Bucs 25th ranked defensive pass efficiency, and I expect Tannehill to have performance better than expected.
Combine the above with the fact that this line is holding strong at -2.5 with only 35 percent of bets indicates that big money is also backing the Titans at this line.
I’ll be joining the sharps.
Tannehill time, -2.5.
Bonus Pick: Patriots -12; anything under -14 I’m taking. Until their defense proves it’s not as dominant as it seems, I’m taking the Patriots, no questions asked. They are looking for another clinical performance over a talented-but-inconsistent Browns team.
May our beers stay cold, and our bets stay hot. See you next week.