2024 Golden Globes Predictions: Our Projected Winners, From 'Barbie' to Paul Giamatti

Who's taking the throne?

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What a year it has been in tinsel town ladies and gentlemen! We had a fairly quiet start to 2023, but the action turned the volume up during the spring when the writers strike went into affect in May. That definitely shook things up a bit as television shows and movies that were in the process of filming were suddenly operating without, well, writers. Then around late June/July, rumblings of SAG-AFTRA joining the writers on strike began making its way out. Sure enough, on July 14, SAG joined the writers on strike, making it the first time both unions were striking at the same time in decades. Things were in limbo for several months until the writers got their deal in October. However, at the beginning of November, it was looking quite bleak in terms of the SAG strike ending before the Thanksgiving holiday (which in turn would have probably meant no award shows would be happening at all), but SAG got their deal on November 9th, and we get to have a 2024 Golden Globe Awards on time. With that in mind, (and nominations set to come out next week), we're dropping our definitive Golden Globes predictions for 2024.

From the 'Barbenheimer' extravaganza of the blockbuster summer season, to Paul Giamatti's astounding performance in The Holdovers (can we give Mr. Giamatti a lifetime achievement award of some kind?), there's much to look forward to at the 2024 awards, which is scheduled to take place on Sunday, January 7. The nominations for next year (or next month—however you want to look at it) are set to be officially announced on December 12th, but because we're self-proclaimed film and television critics who absolutely feel we're qualified enough to voice our opinion, we're getting ahead of the game.

If you want to see our vote-worthy takes, you can scroll down to check our 2024 Golden Globes predictions for 'Best Lead Actor,' 'Best Actress,' and more.

RELATED: 'Barbie' vs 'Oppenheimer': Who Won the Battle?

Best TV Series: Drama

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  • Frontrunner: Succession
  • Predicted nominees: 1923, Queen Charlotte: A Bridgerton Story, The Crown, The Last of Us, The Morning Show

Whew! The 'Drama TV' category is going to be a tough call because so many shows brought it this year when it came to drama, tense moments, and having us completely on edge, but we do believe Succession is taking the crown (slight pun intended). Not only was this final season full of twists, turns, seduction, and little bit of deception, Succession was also talk of internet each and every week it was on. With it being the show's final season and the series not taking home the honors last year (though they did win in 2021), we've got Succession taking the trophy.

Supporting Actor: Motion Picture

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Universal Pictures
  • Frontrunner: Robert Downey Jr. - Oppenheimer
  • Predicted nominees: Mark Ruffalo - Poor Things, Ryan Gosling - Barbie, Jesse Plemons - Killers of the Flower Moon, Jacob Elordi - Saltburn, Charles Melton - May December

Hmm...another tough one, but we're going with...Robert Downey Jr. for "Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture," because he was brilliant as Lewis Strauss. Just brilliant. It's almost like you forgot that it was Robert Downey Jr. underneath the hair and makeup that legitimately made him look a good thirty years or so older than what he is. Some say that Oppenheimer is Downey Jr.'s best role in a long time, and while we do love him as Iron-Man and think Endgame is the best superhero movie of the last five years, we'd have to agree.

Best Motion Picture: Comedy or Musical

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Warner Bros.
  • Frontrunner: Barbie
  • Potential nominees: Poor Things, The Color Purple, Air, American Fiction, May December

There's elements of Barbie that can qualify it as musical, and there's certainly elements of the film that achieves the comedy aspect as well. Barbie was such a huge phenomena with its "Mojo Dojo Casa House," groovy dance break, and flat out hilarious moments that we think it's going to take the trophy this year. However, we wouldn't rule out The Color Purple taking home the honors in last-minute comeback (especially once it officially hits theaters on Christmas Day).

Motion Picture (Animated)

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Sony Pictures Entertainment
  • Frontrunner: Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse
  • Potential nominees: Elemental, The Super Mario Bros. Movie, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem, Robot Dreams, They Shot the Piano Player

Sorry, but we think Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse has this category on lock. Sure films like The Super Mario Bros. Movie was a pleasant surprise in terms of how it performed at the box office and its overall popularity, but the classic 2D animation style and storyline pushes Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse as the front runner. We'd honestly be very surprised if Sony Pictures doesn't take this one home.

Best Actor: Comedy or Musical

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Focus Features
  • Frontrunner: Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
  • Potential nominees: Ryan Gosling - Barbie, Matt Damon - Air, Jamie Foxx - The Burial, Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario, Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

The Holdovers is very well scripted and acted film that has somewhat flown under the radar in the sense that there's a lot of people who still haven't seen it yet (granted it was released during the strike when promo was limited. In a land full of great Paul Giamatti performances, The Holdovers has a strong case for being top five—he's really the glue that holds it all together. That said, it wouldn't surprise us if Gosling takes it either seeing as though he was heavily praised for his portrayal of Ken as well.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture: Drama

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Paramount Pictures
  • Frontrunner: Leonardo DiCaprio - Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Potential nominees: Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer, Bradley Cooper - Maestro, Barry Keogan - Saltburn, Adam Driver - Ferrari, Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers

Ultimately we think this is going to end up coming down to a battle between Leonardo DiCaprio for Killers of the Flower Moon, and Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer. There's tons of similarities here—both are dramas, both actors turned in riveting performances, and films were three-hours long. We've got DiCaprio having the slight-edge here as he portrayed a cunning sneaky character that was really in on a mass murder scheme that included trying to kill his wife. As much as you hated his character, DiCaprio was fascinating as always, which was backed up by critics with Ben Rolph from Discussing Film stating: "There's some serious Oscar potential here as Leonardo DiCaprio delivers one of his best performances of all time, along with a top-notch Robert De Niro."

Best TV Series: Musical or Comedy

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  • Frontrunner: Abbott Elementary
  • Potential nominees: The Bear, Only Murders in the Building, Barry, Sex Education, Ted Lasso

"Abbott on Abbott on Abbott, that...."—never mind this is supposed to be a serious prediction list. Anyway, Abbott Elementary took home the trophy for "Best TV Series: Musical or Comedy" last year, and we've got them winning again this year. There were a lot of good shows/seasons delivered to us this year, but we still feel Abbott Elementary is the strongest in this category.

Best Motion Picture: Drama

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Universal Pictures
  • Frontrunner: Oppenheimer
  • Potential nominees: Killers of the Flower Moon, Air, American Fiction, Wonka, Maestro

Critics referred to Oppenheimer as being "another engrossing achievement from Christopher Nolan that benefits from Murphy's tour-de-force performance and stunning visuals." Add that in with the general consensus that this film is up there as one of Nolan's best in a long line of classics plus the "Barbenheimer" effect, and we think Oppenheimer beats out other titles like Killers of the Flower Moon, Air, and Maestro for the "Best Motion Picture: Drama" category.

Best Actress: Comedy or Musical

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Warner Bros.
  • Frontrunner: Margot Robbie
  • Potential nominees: Emma Stone - Poor Things, Ayo Edebiri - Bottoms, Jennifer Lawrence - No Hard Feelings, Natalie Portman - May December, Emily Blunt - Pain Hustlers

Margot Robbie is our frontrunner for Best Actress: Comedy or Musical due to her captivating performance as Barbie, which set the summer on fire. Simply put, Robbie was the perfect Barbie, with the New York Times stating: "Physically, the blonde Australian actress already looks like she stepped out of a Mattel box (something the film itself plays on.)" Other critics praised Robbie for her acting prowess, charm, and humor, which gives her a good shot at snagging the award.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture: Drama

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Paramount Pictures
  • Frontrunner: Lily Gladstone - Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Potential nominees: Carey Mulligan - Maestro, Sandra Hüller - Anatomy of a Fall, Cailee Spaeny - Priscilla, Helen Mirren - Golda, Greta Lee - Past Lives

Holding your own against DiCaprio and De Niro is no easy feat, yet Lily Gladstone does it with ease in Killers of the Flower Moon. Gladstone gave us just the right amount of vulnerability, toughness, and naivety, which is why we have her as our frontrunner for Best Actress in a Motion Picture: Drama. The Harvard Crimson called Gladstone's performance "a perfect embodiment of the complicated figure of Mollie, perfectly showcasing the both subtle and intense emotion," noting that her: "stoic and restrained character contrasted sharply against DiCaprio's Ernest." We think Gladstone will lead the nominations and take this one home.

Best Actor in a Drama Series

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  • Frontrunner: Kieran Culkin - Succession
  • Potential nominees: Pedro Pascal - The Last of Us, Harrison Ford - 1923, Tom Hiddleston - Loki, John C. Reilly - Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, Nathan Fielder - The Curse

It's time for Kieran Culkin to get his shine at the Golden Globes, and we think this is year he takes it for his dynamic performance as Roman Loy on Succession. Culkin steadily brought a direct a seamless balance of humor and drama to his role as Loy, giving you raw and powerful emotions in some scenes, and epic one-liners that displayed his wit and humor in others. Culkin is up against some other heavyweights that delivered profound performances in their respective shows this year (Pedro Pascal and Tom Hiddleston for example), but we think Culkin grabs the "Best Actor in a Drama Series" award this year.

Best Actress in a Drama Series

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  • Frontrunner: Sarah Snook - Succession
  • Potential nominees: Rosario Dawson - Ahsoka, Helen Mirren - 1923, Jennifer Aniston - The Morning Show, Keri Russell - The Diplomat, Carry Coon - The Gilded Age

Let's make this a Succession party shall we? Now we must admit, this is going to be a rather tough category that can really go any way. You can't ignore Jennifer Aniston's strong performance as Alex Levy in The Morning Show, and Rosario Dawson is sensational in Ahsoka. The same can be said for any of the actresses that end up getting nominated in this category on the 12th (and ultimately winning it in January), but our personal bets are on Sarah Snook nabbing another trophy.

Best Screenplay

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Universal Pictures
  • Frontrunner: Oppenheimer
  • Potential nominees: Barbie, The Holdovers, Maestro, Past Lives, American Fiction

While Barbie could take home the honors, something tells us that "Best Screenplay" is probably going to go towards a film that's in the drama category. And in that regard, where not sure if there was anybody in 2023 who did it better than Christopher Nolan with Oppenheimer. The film is stunningly-written, and could (emphasis on could) be Nolan's best. We think Oppenheimer wins in this category.

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