High: Joe Mixon ($7600)
Even if Mixon hasn’t delivered star-level results this year, he’s fed as frequently as just about any other back in the league; he’s averaged 28 touches across the first two games this year and averages more than 20 touches per game for his career. This week, Mixon and the Bengals play the Jets, who are bad and not good. The math here isn’t hard: talented running back + lots of touches + the Jets defense = success.
Middle: David Montgomery ($5900)
Since becoming the full-time starter in 2020, Montgomery has dominated Chicago’s backfield. The Bears are the league’s most run-happy team because they have no belief in their passing game, so Montgomery is now the focal point of their offense. Against a Texans team that ranks 25th in run defense DVOA, Montgomery is once again a smart pick, albeit an unsexy one.
Value: Jerick McKinnon ($4500)
McKinnon has sneakily become a mainstay in the Chiefs offense. In fact, he's out-snapped the more heralded Clyde Edwards-Helaire over the first two games. McKinnon hasn’t actually done much in his snaps, but the Chiefs offense is so explosive that he becomes appealing by proximity. If you’re out there long enough, Patrick Mahomes will find you for a touchdown eventually.